A simple analsysis of the IEBC registered voters taking into account the voting trends of the regions confirm that CORD leader Raila Odinga is ahead of Jubilee’s Uhuru Kenyatta by about 800,000 votes.
Here is the analysis (simplified)
As of Dec 2016; Central region had 2,401,000 and Nyanza 2,236,000. Rift Valley had 3,762,000, Coast 1,328,000, Western 1,618,000, Upper Eastern 1,140,000, Lower Eastern 1,252,000, N. Eastern 376,000 and Nairobi 1,843,000.
Jubilee(Uhuruto):
-Central = 2,401,000… Rift valley (75% as per 2013) = 2,821,000… Upper Eastern = 1,140,000… NAIROBI (50%) = 921,000… N.Eastern (75%) = 282,000.
TOTAL ==> 7,565,000.
CORD/NASA (Railonzo):
-Nyanza = 2,236,000… R. Valley (25%) = 941,000… Lower Eastern 1,252,000… Western 1,618,000… Coast = 1.328,000… N.Eastern (25%) = 94,000… Nairobi = 921,000.
TOTAL ==> 8,390,000.
If you distribute the recent (1 week) registered in ongoing #NASAKura exercise, then Jubilee 410,000, CORD 415,000.
PS: 2013 Uhuru’s Kisii and Coast votes cancels with Raila/Kalonzo Central and Upper Eastern votes (They both total about 200k).
The analsis confirms Jubilee’s desperation, especially considering the empty promises, corruption, workers strikes, current #OperationFukuzaGraber… they won’t get the % they got in R. Valley, Upper Eastern and N. Eastern, while a united NASA locks them out of Kisii, Ukambani, Western, Coast etc.
Think, why would they would resort to 128k double registration if they had the numbers?? Tyranny NEVER existed.
If IEBC registers even 3.5million in ongoing exercise, then CORD/NASA will hit 10-11 million votes out of the projected total 19million.
